CRAIG TRAPP FREEBIE ANGLES AND TRENDS
Finally yesterday we ended our Bonus Play losing streak. A very easy win with SF Giants killing Washington. Today Handicapper Craig Trapp looks to keep up the winning with his NBA Tuesday Bonus Play. Lets look at the trends and his against the spread winning breakdown.
Betting Trends
Magic are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Magic are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Celtics are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 home games.
Magic are 4-13 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Boston.
Neither Teams trends are unbelievable so we will disregard them in this instance. Pure handicapping this game comes down to the end and the winning team will be the one that makes tough shots and comes up with a few defensive stops. Ray Allen and Paul Pierce have not played well in this series and are due for huge breakout game. The heart of the champion and the home crowd will carry the Celtics to cover this one. Magic have played well in the playoffs but still rely on too many three point shots which Boston will take away in game 5. Orlando has not learned how to win close games yet and BOSTON has owned close games this year!!SCORE BOS 98 - ORL 92
Finally yesterday we ended our Bonus Play losing streak. A very easy win with SF Giants killing Washington. Today Handicapper Craig Trapp looks to keep up the winning with his NBA Tuesday Bonus Play. Lets look at the trends and his against the spread winning breakdown.
Betting Trends
Magic are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Magic are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Celtics are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 home games.
Magic are 4-13 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Boston.
Neither Teams trends are unbelievable so we will disregard them in this instance. Pure handicapping this game comes down to the end and the winning team will be the one that makes tough shots and comes up with a few defensive stops. Ray Allen and Paul Pierce have not played well in this series and are due for huge breakout game. The heart of the champion and the home crowd will carry the Celtics to cover this one. Magic have played well in the playoffs but still rely on too many three point shots which Boston will take away in game 5. Orlando has not learned how to win close games yet and BOSTON has owned close games this year!!SCORE BOS 98 - ORL 92
Scott Rickenbach
Detroit Red Wings at Anaheim Ducks
The Red Wings have simply taken command of this series and, through the years, they've shown a great ability to close out series like this on the road. Since the game is at Anaheim, we get decent line value with a Red Wings club whose offensive skills and depth have simply worn down the Ducks. Through the post-season, Anaheim goalie Jonas Hiller did a great job but, eventually, there comes a point where there's only so much your netminder can do for you. The Ducks have reached that point. The Red Wings have worn them down and are dominating in terms of puck possession and shots on goal. It's been a valiant effort for the Ducks but the Red Wings have simply proven to be too much. Consider a small play on Detroit on the money line in the NHL on Tuesday night.
Play on: Detroit
Detroit Red Wings at Anaheim Ducks
The Red Wings have simply taken command of this series and, through the years, they've shown a great ability to close out series like this on the road. Since the game is at Anaheim, we get decent line value with a Red Wings club whose offensive skills and depth have simply worn down the Ducks. Through the post-season, Anaheim goalie Jonas Hiller did a great job but, eventually, there comes a point where there's only so much your netminder can do for you. The Ducks have reached that point. The Red Wings have worn them down and are dominating in terms of puck possession and shots on goal. It's been a valiant effort for the Ducks but the Red Wings have simply proven to be too much. Consider a small play on Detroit on the money line in the NHL on Tuesday night.
Play on: Detroit
Terron Chapman
Boston Red Sox vs. LAA Angels
Play: LAA Angels
The Los Angeles Angels are surging, winning seven of their last eight, including a three game sweep of the once red hot Kansas City Royals in their last series. They’ll look to continue that success when they begin a three game set with the visiting Boston Red Sox Tuesday evening at Angels stadium. The Red Sox will send right hander Justin Masterson to the mound in his second appearance and first start against the Angels. In his lone appearance against the Angels this season, he came out of the bullpen and was tagged for four runs and three hits in one inning. His last two starts have been shaky at best, giving up 12 runs in 12 1/3 innings, both losses. The Angels will counter with Jered Weaver who is coming off of his strongest outing of the season. He pitched his first complete game against the explosive Blue Jays, allowing one run and three hits, while striking out eight. Weaver defeated the Red Sox in his season debut at home, holding them to one unearned run in 6 2/3 innings striking out eight while walking two. He has been particularly strong at home this season, allowing just four earned runs in 29 2/3 innings, while going 3-0. I think there is plenty of value on the home team in game one with a shaky road pitcher on the mound against a quality home starter. The Red Sox will more than likely be without two key pieces in Kevin Youkilis (oblique) and Dustin Pedroia (groin) who are both listed as questionable for Tuesday’s game. The Red Sox have struggled recently with the Halos who have won 11 of the last 15 meetings. Play on the Los Angeles Angels for 2 units.
Boston Red Sox vs. LAA Angels
Play: LAA Angels
The Los Angeles Angels are surging, winning seven of their last eight, including a three game sweep of the once red hot Kansas City Royals in their last series. They’ll look to continue that success when they begin a three game set with the visiting Boston Red Sox Tuesday evening at Angels stadium. The Red Sox will send right hander Justin Masterson to the mound in his second appearance and first start against the Angels. In his lone appearance against the Angels this season, he came out of the bullpen and was tagged for four runs and three hits in one inning. His last two starts have been shaky at best, giving up 12 runs in 12 1/3 innings, both losses. The Angels will counter with Jered Weaver who is coming off of his strongest outing of the season. He pitched his first complete game against the explosive Blue Jays, allowing one run and three hits, while striking out eight. Weaver defeated the Red Sox in his season debut at home, holding them to one unearned run in 6 2/3 innings striking out eight while walking two. He has been particularly strong at home this season, allowing just four earned runs in 29 2/3 innings, while going 3-0. I think there is plenty of value on the home team in game one with a shaky road pitcher on the mound against a quality home starter. The Red Sox will more than likely be without two key pieces in Kevin Youkilis (oblique) and Dustin Pedroia (groin) who are both listed as questionable for Tuesday’s game. The Red Sox have struggled recently with the Halos who have won 11 of the last 15 meetings. Play on the Los Angeles Angels for 2 units.
Cajun Sports
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Play: Tampa Bay Rays
Oriole Park will be the site of this two-game mini series between the host Baltimore Orioles and the visiting Tampa Bay Rays. The O’s took two out of three from the Rays when they met here in April and then split a two-game mini in Cigar City the first of May. This series was dominated by the Rays last season with the Orioles posting a record of 3-15 W/L (-1195) in 2008 and the Rays are 22-9 W/L the last 31 meetings overall. This contest provides a rematch between Orioles pitcher Mark Hendrickson and Rays pitcher Andy Sonnanstine who met back on April 10 with Hendrickson and the O’s getting the 5 to 4 win. Hendrickson pitched 5.3 innings giving up one earned run on six hits while Sonnanstine threw for 4.7 innings giving up five earned runs on eight hits in the loss. Hendrickson’s lone win came in that game he lost his next four starts posting an ERA of 7.0 in those outings. He is 1-4 W/L with an ERA of 5.13 overall this season and 3-4 W/L with an ERA of 4.57 versus this Rays team. Rays starter Andy Sonnanstine is coming off his best outing of the season the right-hander pitched a season-high 7 1/3 innings against the Yankees on Wednesday, allowing two runs and six hits in a 4 to 3, 10-inning win. The Rays are 4-0 W/L their last four following a loss in their last game. Tampa Bay is 9-3 W/L their last twelve when Sonnanstine takes the bump versus the AL East and 8-3 W/L their last eleven when he is working on five days rest. The Orioles are 17-35 W/L following a loss in their last game, 16-37 W/L their last fifty-three when installed as an underdog and 5-12 W/L their last seventeen when facing an opponent with a losing record on the season. Our PPR (Pitcher Performance Ratings) Index shows the Rays with a rating of 28.8 with Sonnanstine on the bump while the O’s Hendrickson checks in with a rating of -4.9. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Rays win in tonight’s game by 2.3 runs over the Orioles. With significant technical and fundamental support for the visitor we will back the Tampa Bay Rays here as they get the win tonight in Baltimore.
Graded Selection: 3* Tampa Bay Rays 6 Baltimore Orioles 4
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Play: Tampa Bay Rays
Oriole Park will be the site of this two-game mini series between the host Baltimore Orioles and the visiting Tampa Bay Rays. The O’s took two out of three from the Rays when they met here in April and then split a two-game mini in Cigar City the first of May. This series was dominated by the Rays last season with the Orioles posting a record of 3-15 W/L (-1195) in 2008 and the Rays are 22-9 W/L the last 31 meetings overall. This contest provides a rematch between Orioles pitcher Mark Hendrickson and Rays pitcher Andy Sonnanstine who met back on April 10 with Hendrickson and the O’s getting the 5 to 4 win. Hendrickson pitched 5.3 innings giving up one earned run on six hits while Sonnanstine threw for 4.7 innings giving up five earned runs on eight hits in the loss. Hendrickson’s lone win came in that game he lost his next four starts posting an ERA of 7.0 in those outings. He is 1-4 W/L with an ERA of 5.13 overall this season and 3-4 W/L with an ERA of 4.57 versus this Rays team. Rays starter Andy Sonnanstine is coming off his best outing of the season the right-hander pitched a season-high 7 1/3 innings against the Yankees on Wednesday, allowing two runs and six hits in a 4 to 3, 10-inning win. The Rays are 4-0 W/L their last four following a loss in their last game. Tampa Bay is 9-3 W/L their last twelve when Sonnanstine takes the bump versus the AL East and 8-3 W/L their last eleven when he is working on five days rest. The Orioles are 17-35 W/L following a loss in their last game, 16-37 W/L their last fifty-three when installed as an underdog and 5-12 W/L their last seventeen when facing an opponent with a losing record on the season. Our PPR (Pitcher Performance Ratings) Index shows the Rays with a rating of 28.8 with Sonnanstine on the bump while the O’s Hendrickson checks in with a rating of -4.9. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Rays win in tonight’s game by 2.3 runs over the Orioles. With significant technical and fundamental support for the visitor we will back the Tampa Bay Rays here as they get the win tonight in Baltimore.
Graded Selection: 3* Tampa Bay Rays 6 Baltimore Orioles 4
Nelly
Kansas City at Oakland
Play Under
With two unproven pitchers on the mound the total for this game is a bit elevated but given the venue and the limited offense from each of these teams this will likely be a low-scoring game. The A's and Royals have the top two bullpen ERAs in the American League and both are also two of the lowest scoring teams in the AL. Oakland has averaged less than 4.2 runs per game and Kansas City has averaged just over 4.5 runs per game. By a fairly significant margin the Royals and A's have allowed the fewest amounts of runs in the AL as well. Both teams have also averaged less than one home run hit per game. The Oakland Coliseum has the lowest OPS of any ballpark in the AL and batters own just a .247 average in this stadium. Oakland home games have averaged just 8.4 runs per game and in a small sample those numbers are even inflated a bit based on a couple of games. The 'under' has cashed in seven of the last ten Oakland home games and despite an overall surge in scoring and 'overs' in MLB at this point in the year both of these teams have been 'under' clubs. Luke Hochevar had decent results for the Royals in August last year and Trevor Cahill has pitched well in five of his six starts this season, allowing two or fewer earned runs in all but one outing.
Kansas City at Oakland
Play Under
With two unproven pitchers on the mound the total for this game is a bit elevated but given the venue and the limited offense from each of these teams this will likely be a low-scoring game. The A's and Royals have the top two bullpen ERAs in the American League and both are also two of the lowest scoring teams in the AL. Oakland has averaged less than 4.2 runs per game and Kansas City has averaged just over 4.5 runs per game. By a fairly significant margin the Royals and A's have allowed the fewest amounts of runs in the AL as well. Both teams have also averaged less than one home run hit per game. The Oakland Coliseum has the lowest OPS of any ballpark in the AL and batters own just a .247 average in this stadium. Oakland home games have averaged just 8.4 runs per game and in a small sample those numbers are even inflated a bit based on a couple of games. The 'under' has cashed in seven of the last ten Oakland home games and despite an overall surge in scoring and 'overs' in MLB at this point in the year both of these teams have been 'under' clubs. Luke Hochevar had decent results for the Royals in August last year and Trevor Cahill has pitched well in five of his six starts this season, allowing two or fewer earned runs in all but one outing.
Marc Lawrence
Play On: San Diego w/Peavy
A matchup of staff aces takes place in Chicago this evening with the Padres send Jake Peavy to the hill against Rich Harden and the Cubs at Wrigley Field. Peavy enjoys hurling during the month of May where San Diego has come up a winner in 14 of Peavy's last 20 teams starts. In the rare role of a dog against a pitcher that is not in good form, we'll back Peavy and the Padres here tonight.
Play On: San Diego w/Peavy
A matchup of staff aces takes place in Chicago this evening with the Padres send Jake Peavy to the hill against Rich Harden and the Cubs at Wrigley Field. Peavy enjoys hurling during the month of May where San Diego has come up a winner in 14 of Peavy's last 20 teams starts. In the rare role of a dog against a pitcher that is not in good form, we'll back Peavy and the Padres here tonight.
Brad Diamond Sports
Play on: Philadelphia over Los Angeles
The guess of death with Phillies hurlers lies in the game after a good outing. RHP Park (0-1, 6.67) is coming off a decent outing up in Citi-Field in New York. If the veteran can buck that trend the series history angles point to Philadelphia. Overall, Philly has won 22 of last 30 games in the series, 8 of 9 at this writing. Just as important, the home standing club is a super 11-2 against left hand pitching.
Play on: Philadelphia over Los Angeles
The guess of death with Phillies hurlers lies in the game after a good outing. RHP Park (0-1, 6.67) is coming off a decent outing up in Citi-Field in New York. If the veteran can buck that trend the series history angles point to Philadelphia. Overall, Philly has won 22 of last 30 games in the series, 8 of 9 at this writing. Just as important, the home standing club is a super 11-2 against left hand pitching.
Jimmy The Moose
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets May
Prediction: New York Mets
The Braves won last night in New York and are now 5-1 in their last 6 games. After losing last night the Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Altanta sends Jurrjens to the mound and the Braves have lost 2 of his last 3 starts. New York counters with Pelfrey and he comes in having won his last 3 starts. The Mets are 11-4 in his last 15 home starts. In their last 9 trips to New York the Braves are 3-6. New York takes this one and evens the series. Play on the New York Mets -.
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets May
Prediction: New York Mets
The Braves won last night in New York and are now 5-1 in their last 6 games. After losing last night the Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Altanta sends Jurrjens to the mound and the Braves have lost 2 of his last 3 starts. New York counters with Pelfrey and he comes in having won his last 3 starts. The Mets are 11-4 in his last 15 home starts. In their last 9 trips to New York the Braves are 3-6. New York takes this one and evens the series. Play on the New York Mets -.
Tony Weston
Today's Selection
We come through last night as the Nuggets and Mavericks hit well Over the Total. We’re making it two in a row tonight as we’re taking the Under in the Rockets-Lakers matchup in Los Angeles.
The number for tonight is set at 198 points and just like in Game 4 the Under will come in.
Consider that in their last six meetings overall - all since March 11 - the Under is on a 4-2 run and has come in 2 of the last 3 games in Los Angeles. In that 6-game stretch these two have totaled, on average, 193.5 points per. In their last 3 games in L.A. the teams have totaled, on average, 191.6 points per game.
Keep in mind also that the Under is on a 6-2 run for the Rockets and it has come in 5 of the Lakers last 7 games overall.
Tonight, the defense will dictate the game as these two play Under the total. Take the Under in this one tonight.
3♦ ROCKETS-LAKERS UNDER
Today's Selection
We come through last night as the Nuggets and Mavericks hit well Over the Total. We’re making it two in a row tonight as we’re taking the Under in the Rockets-Lakers matchup in Los Angeles.
The number for tonight is set at 198 points and just like in Game 4 the Under will come in.
Consider that in their last six meetings overall - all since March 11 - the Under is on a 4-2 run and has come in 2 of the last 3 games in Los Angeles. In that 6-game stretch these two have totaled, on average, 193.5 points per. In their last 3 games in L.A. the teams have totaled, on average, 191.6 points per game.
Keep in mind also that the Under is on a 6-2 run for the Rockets and it has come in 5 of the Lakers last 7 games overall.
Tonight, the defense will dictate the game as these two play Under the total. Take the Under in this one tonight.
3♦ ROCKETS-LAKERS UNDER
<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Karl Garrett
Orlando at BOSTON
In the NBA on Tuesday, take the OVER in the Orlando-Boston series for you free winner.
Sunday's UNDER between the teams snapped a 2 game OVER streak in the series, and the bottom line is games in Boston have been sailing OVER the total with alarming frequency of late for the C's.
14 of the last 18 games played on the parquet have played HIGH, and Boston is also on a 18-5 OVER clip their last 23 when laying points.
Finally, the Celts have played 7 of their last 9 games against teams from the Southeast Division OVER the total.
Tuesday night's game will go OVER the total as well.
4♦ OVER
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Orlando at BOSTON
In the NBA on Tuesday, take the OVER in the Orlando-Boston series for you free winner.
Sunday's UNDER between the teams snapped a 2 game OVER streak in the series, and the bottom line is games in Boston have been sailing OVER the total with alarming frequency of late for the C's.
14 of the last 18 games played on the parquet have played HIGH, and Boston is also on a 18-5 OVER clip their last 23 when laying points.
Finally, the Celts have played 7 of their last 9 games against teams from the Southeast Division OVER the total.
Tuesday night's game will go OVER the total as well.
4♦ OVER
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Matt Rivers
For Tuesday take the number back with Jordan Zimmerman and the Nats.
I am the first person to boast about how good San Francisco righthander Matt Cain can be. Cain has Cy Young type stuff and more times than not can dominate an opponent. With that said this kid Jordan Zimmerman is an absolute future stud himself and has an immense upside. In what should be a low scoring game I will gladly back Zimmerman and the visitors from the nation's capital.
Zimmerman was not on in that last start (or at least in that dreaded six run first inning) at Los Angeles but the Nats were able to find a way to storm back and upset the favored Dodgers. I don't know what went wrong in that opening inning but the righty shut down Joe Torre's bats for the next five innings and has already had a huge amount of success this season including upsetting the Mets in New York and downing the Braves at home in DC.
Say what you want about these Nats but they have played a lot better of late after the miserable start and have a couple of semi stars in Ryan Zimmerman and Adam Dunn. Granted I'm not calling Washington a good club by any means but they are not at all dreadful and it's not like San Fransisco is exactly a juggernaut.
Yes the Giants have been good at home but the hitters are still overall very light hitting and we can easily see a pitcher's duel where one bounce of the ball or one stolen base can mean a win or a loss. Plus money in this scenario with a hot team and a stud pitcher is enough for me!
For Tuesday take the number back with Jordan Zimmerman and the Nats.
I am the first person to boast about how good San Francisco righthander Matt Cain can be. Cain has Cy Young type stuff and more times than not can dominate an opponent. With that said this kid Jordan Zimmerman is an absolute future stud himself and has an immense upside. In what should be a low scoring game I will gladly back Zimmerman and the visitors from the nation's capital.
Zimmerman was not on in that last start (or at least in that dreaded six run first inning) at Los Angeles but the Nats were able to find a way to storm back and upset the favored Dodgers. I don't know what went wrong in that opening inning but the righty shut down Joe Torre's bats for the next five innings and has already had a huge amount of success this season including upsetting the Mets in New York and downing the Braves at home in DC.
Say what you want about these Nats but they have played a lot better of late after the miserable start and have a couple of semi stars in Ryan Zimmerman and Adam Dunn. Granted I'm not calling Washington a good club by any means but they are not at all dreadful and it's not like San Fransisco is exactly a juggernaut.
Yes the Giants have been good at home but the hitters are still overall very light hitting and we can easily see a pitcher's duel where one bounce of the ball or one stolen base can mean a win or a loss. Plus money in this scenario with a hot team and a stud pitcher is enough for me!
Sports Gambling Hotline
St. Louis -115 at PITTSBURGH
NBA comp play winner last night on Cleveland-Atlanta UNDER the total. 7-4-1 Bonus Play run the last 12 days.
Take St. Louis tonight at Pittsburgh, as the Pirates aren't exactly lighting it up on the diamond of late.
Pittsburgh has lost their last 8, including a pair of games last week at St. Louis. Zach Duke took the loss in one of those games last week, allowing 4 runs on 5 innings of work. His counterpart Todd Wellemeyer was the winner in one of those two games, working 7 frames of 2 run ball.
Wellemeyer is 2-0 on the road this year with a 1.93 ERA, while Duke is now 1-2 at home for the young season.
St. Louis comes to town having won 3 of their last 5 games, and they have won 3 of Duke's last 4 starts against them.
Play on the Redbirds in the series opener.
2? ST. LOUIS
St. Louis -115 at PITTSBURGH
NBA comp play winner last night on Cleveland-Atlanta UNDER the total. 7-4-1 Bonus Play run the last 12 days.
Take St. Louis tonight at Pittsburgh, as the Pirates aren't exactly lighting it up on the diamond of late.
Pittsburgh has lost their last 8, including a pair of games last week at St. Louis. Zach Duke took the loss in one of those games last week, allowing 4 runs on 5 innings of work. His counterpart Todd Wellemeyer was the winner in one of those two games, working 7 frames of 2 run ball.
Wellemeyer is 2-0 on the road this year with a 1.93 ERA, while Duke is now 1-2 at home for the young season.
St. Louis comes to town having won 3 of their last 5 games, and they have won 3 of Duke's last 4 starts against them.
Play on the Redbirds in the series opener.
2? ST. LOUIS
Robert Ferringo
4.5-Unit Play. Take Toronto (-135) over N.Y. Yankees
Note: This is our Game of the Week.
2-Unit Play. Take St. Louis (-115) over Pittsburgh
2-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-110) over L.A. Dodgers
2-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (-135) over Detroit
1.5-Unit Play. Take Texas (-145) over Seattle
Today's Totals
2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.5 Tampa Bay at Baltimore
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Atlanta at N.Y. Mets
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4.5-Unit Play. Take Toronto (-135) over N.Y. Yankees
Note: This is our Game of the Week.
2-Unit Play. Take St. Louis (-115) over Pittsburgh
2-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-110) over L.A. Dodgers
2-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (-135) over Detroit
1.5-Unit Play. Take Texas (-145) over Seattle
Today's Totals
2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.5 Tampa Bay at Baltimore
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Atlanta at N.Y. Mets
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